Bitcoin price & range forecast BTC/USDT
$72,906−2.78% 24h
as of 16:52 UTC
- Conditions Volatile i Markets busier than usual; ranges are wider.
- Live since Oct 28 · model v2 (HAR-RV-J)
- Collecting live data day 14 of 14· Backtest, Jun–Oct 2026: 1-hour range held 89.7%i
- How often were we right? →
Forecasts made 1 hour earlier, drawn at the time they refer to. i
Outlook
| In | 90% range | Hit rate i |
|---|---|---|
1 hour
17:50 UTC |
$72,324 – $73,648 | 90%
backtest |
4 hours
20:50 UTC |
$71,611 – $74,382 | 90%
backtest |
24 hours
Nov 11, 16:50 UTC |
$69,028 – $77,165 | 89%
backtest |
Probability calculator
In
47%
chance Bitcoin is above $73,000
at 17:50 UTC
Below 53%
Above 47%
90% range in 1 hour: $72,324 – $73,648. i
Expected vs actual volatility
i±2.1%
a day is what options are pricing in
0%60%
- Implied, next 30 days
- 40.5% ▲ from 40% a week ago
- Realised, last 30 days
- 36.5%
- Realised, last 24 hours
- 43.5%
Options are pricing in about as much movement as Bitcoin has shown lately (+4.0 points).
No Fed, CPI or jobs releases in the next 7 days.
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